Monday, March 2, 2009

North vs. South

"'Defeat in detail' is a military concept that denotes the rout of an enemy by dividing and destroying segments of his forces once by one, instead of engaging his entire strength. ... The concept is as old as Sun Tzu ('if enemy forces are united, separate them') and was more recently restated by Mao ('concentrate a superior force to destroy the enemy forces one by one'). It is highly relevant to the American interest because the civilization upon which this country is founded--usually described as 'Western,' although 'Northern' would be more accurate--is in danger of being defeated in detail by its enemies, internal and external. ... Russia's ambassador to NATO, Dmitry Rogozin ... [said] 'There is a new civilization emerging in the Third World that thinks that the white, northern hemisphere has always oppressed it and must therefore fall at its feet now. ... If the northern civilization wants to protect itself, it must be united: America, the European Union, and Russia. If they are not together, they will be defeated one by one.' ... It indicates that, in some important respects, Russia is freer than the [US] or the [EU]: No American or Western European diplomat of his rank would dare make such a statement, even if he shared the sentiment--or hope to remain in his post after making it. And finally, it correctly diagnoses the attititude of the Third World to the northern civilization as inherently adversarial, based on the myth of the latters' oppressiveness and on the expectation of its eventual collapse. ... Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia's population has fallen six percent, from around 150 million to just over 140 million. ... At the same time, the number of self-identified Muslims in Russia has risen by 40 percent in the last 15 years to 20 million, partly fueled by immigration from Central Asis and the Caucasus. ... The fertility of white Americans slipped below the replacement rate in the early 1970s' however, and it never recovered: Today it stands at about 1.8 babies per woman. ... In Russia, Rogozin's thesis is disputed by two very different groups. The Westernizers--insignificant in numbers but influential in the country's intelligensia--reject the notion that Russia can be, or should aspire to be, an equal partner of Europe and America unless and until she is reformed in their image. The Eurasianists, by contrast, see Russia's destiny in the great continental heartland and in strategic partnership with her southern and southeastern neighbors. They believe that Russia's interests and those of the [US] are inherently divergent. In their view, detente with Islam is more desireable than cooperation with the West. ... American exceptionalists believe that the [US] differs qualitatively from Europe (not to mention Russia) by virtue of her 'propositional credo,' which transcends the shackles of ethnicity, race, culture and faith. ... These groups share the radical notion that America is not a real country, but a metaphysical concept or a tool for their own Will to Power--or both. ... The short-term prospects for fostering a sense of unity among Europeans--Eastern, Western, and American--are dim and will remain so for as long as the regimes of all the major states of the West are controlled by an elite class hostile to its own biological and cultural fruits", Baron Bodissey (BB), 16 February 2009 at

I agree with BB. Our current policies with regard to Russia are foolish.

1 comment:

Printfaster said...

Those in Russia who think detente with Islam is practical are fools.

The only way for Russian survival is all out war with Islam. I sense that Putin realizes this and is moving the board pieces for this resolution.

Putin I believe knows that Russia must go it alone against Islam. The US and Europe are incapable of battling Islam.

Perhaps what is happening is the realization on the part of Russia is that the US and Europe may be easier to defeat than Islam. In Russian tradition, to fight a superior enemy, their means in the past were to conquer a series of minor enemies and dragoon them into service, eg the Letts against the Finns in the Russo-Finnish war.

The problem is that for this to occur, there needs to be Islamic cleansing. The Russians may feel that they can hold off on Islamic cleansing until they are strong enough to fight them.

The place to watch next is Serbia, the traditional Russian brother state. If Russia decides to support Serbia against Albania, Kosovo, and Montenegro, that will mark a watershed. If on the other hand, Russia tries its hand against the Baltics, we will see continued detente with Islam.