Friday, January 22, 2010

June 1941, Again?

"Don't assume that Russia and America will be adversaries forever. Given the nature and the magnitude of the negativity marking the current stage of the American-Russian relations, the very thought of an alliance between the two countires looks outright absurd to many people. Regardless of the presence of seemingly insurmountable obstacles, American-Russian relations could offer a dramatic U-turn to a stunned world. Why? The answer to this question is both logical and simple: The spread of radical Islam thoughout the Muslim world and the quickly advancing Islamization of Europe could bring to life this unlikely and, according to many experts, even impossible scenario. ... The main problem from the Russian side is the hysterical anti-Americanism which has become the essence of Russian foreign policy. ... Maybe the most important among them is the negative image of the [US] created by totalitarian propaganda during the Soviet era. The image in question has been powerfully reinforced by the chaos and corruption that plagued Russia in place of the long-expected triumph of Democracy. ... How exactly would Russia benefit from a Vietnam-style American withdrawal from Afghanistan? In fact, an American abandonment of Afghanistan will trigger nothing short of a disaster for Russia. ... And let's not ignore a very important fact: Those Muslim neighbors share an almost 1,900-mile-long border with Afghanistan, which is as porous as the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan. A Taliban victory would represent a huge boost to the activities of radical Islamists whose influence is growing in Central Asia. ... Given the magnitude of that danger, the changing demography of the country as a result of the reduction of the Russian component of the country's population provides grounds for a lot of sobering thoughts. Another important factor influencing the Russian policymakers is the proximity of the dramatically underpopulated Russian Far East to the overpopulated border areas of China. ... Of course, the old rule stipulating that 'it takes two to tango' is fully applicable to the area of foreign policy. Undoubtedly, within US corridors of power, Russia is regarded not only as a former enemy, but also as a current and future rival. American policymakers committed a huge mistake by not taking advantage of the positive attitude of Mr. Putin's government to the [US] in the immediate aftermath of 9/11. ... World public opinion supported the American action designed to terminate the ethnic cleansing of the Albanian community committed by the Milosevic regime. At the same time, however, the [US] did not protect the Serbian residents of Kosovo when they too became victims of ethnic cleansing. The inconsistency brought about a powerful negative reaction in Russia, a traditional Serbian ally and protector. What matters the most today, however, is that fact that America needs Russia to the same degree that Russia needs America. ... Well, looking back in time, those differences didn't prevent the emergence of the WWII-era American-Soviet alliance that buried all of Hitler's dreams and ambitions. ... The new relationship between the [US] and Russia would open the door for the creation of a brand-new system of international relations by including Europe, China, and India, all targeted and coverted by radical Islam, into the alliance. The emergence of such a structure would increase the chances of finding the correct approach to separting the majority of the world's Muslim community from the radical minority trying to establish world domination", my emphasis, Georgy Gourney (GG) at American Thinker, 26 December 2009, link:

GG got a PhD from the Moscow Institute of Foreign Relations. I oppose our antagonistic policy toward Russia. Our 1998 actions in Serbia did not ingratiate us to the Moslem world, but furthered the jihad. I believe Ralph Peters shortly after 9/11 suggested the: US, Russia, India, Israel and China form an alliance to fight Jihadism. Imagine had this happened, the US and Russia could have presented Iran an ultimatum, replete with pictures of Dresden and Berlin: stop all nuclear activities or this is your fate, that of Germany in 1945. My guess, within a few weeks, Iran's military will have slaughtered its Mullahs and given US-Russian teams free reign to look at anything in Iran. Instead, the US kisses Saudi Arabia's arse. The US should try to avoid a Moslem-controlled Russia with 6,500 "deliverables". I infintely prefer Putin's Russia to that. I disagree with GG as to what prevents the alliance: it's current US policy in Georgia, Poland, Serbia, etc. We offer Russia no "quid pro quo" for its support. I agree with GG, our Afghanistan war is Russia's fight. Look at a map. The US need not worry about "world public opinion". How many divisions has the world? I wonder what the alumni of Princeton's Wilson and Harvard's Kennedy Schools think of this? See my 24 and 28 August 2008 posts:

1 comment:

Independent Accountant said...

Anonymous:
The connection to June 1941 is: Germany's invasion of Russia pushed the US and Russia into an alliance. Similarly, Russia's problems with China and Islam could push us together again.

IA